The old saying goes that you can’t win your league in the first round, but you can lose it. Here, we’re focusing on the second part of that saying. It means that your first-round pick has to at least provide a reasonable return. You don’t need to take the number one guy in fantasy to make a first-round pick worth it, but if you end up with 2013 Trent Richardson, well, see you next year.
There are two categories of busts. The first is an injury bust, a guy you draft early who is then lost for some or all of the year. Those hurt, but are fixable. Maybe you drafted the guy’s backup, or maybe you have a strong bench. Either way, you can bench and/or drop the hurt guy and get on with your life. It’s not ideal, but it’s fair game.
Below, we’ve got the full schedule and something to watch for during each game (all times ET, stations via 506sports):
As noted above, the 49ers had an absolutely wretched offseason. There’s a new coaching staff; they lost Patrick Willis, Anthony Davis, Justin Smith and Chris Borland to retirement (only one of them — Smith — was expected to retire anytime soon). They saw Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, Perrish Cox and Chris Culliver leave in free agency. Aldon Smith got arrested again, prompting his release from the team.
He and Beckham figure to be the biggest boom-or-bust guys in this tier. Personally, I don’t see how you can let Demaryius, Dez or Julio fall out of the first round.
Let’s take a quick look at how our rankings compare beyond the top 10 to others out there. This is based on our rankings vs. the average ADPs of MyFantasyLeague.com and Fantasy Football Calculator.